PROBLAY finds the signal. You build the parlay.

PROBLAY doesn't begin by assembling arbitrary sportsbook legs into a parlay.

Candidate legs come from propositions that cleared PROBLAY's research-integrity requirements — current, checkpoint-aware data, markets with evidence-backed qualification, and quality checks on the underlying analysis. Each ambition profile then applies its own price band and minimum Market Edge thresholds on top, with longer prices requiring stronger evidence of disagreement before a leg is considered.

Parlay ideas are currently built from the Over/Under markets. Anytime TD props appear on the Props Board only.

Being in the research pool still does NOT mean a leg is:

• Recommended
• Guaranteed
• Something you should wager on

Need a refresher on the numbers themselves? Understanding the Numbers →

The Parlay Board is one board with a profile selector, not three separate products:

• Balanced — 2-leg ideas. "Research-focused combinations built around more moderate individual prices."
• Aggressive — 3-leg ideas. "Stronger payout targets using PROBLAY research signals and selected plus-money lines."
• Longshot — 3-leg ideas. "Higher-payout combinations built from the same research integrity standards."

A profile changes which prices and payout targets are considered — never the integrity standards, which are identical across all three.

Same Game mode narrows the board to combinations from a single matchup. If no combination from that game currently meets the research criteria, the board says so plainly — that's the criteria speaking, not a verdict on the matchup, and not a failure.

Calculated odds multiply each leg's individual sportsbook price into one American price — e.g. +205. They aren't a confirmed parlay price from a sportsbook, and sportsbooks often price same-game parlays differently from multiplying each leg's price. They're not a probability, and PROBLAY shows them for context, never as a payout promise.

The legs in a parlay may not behave independently. One event can make another leg more likely, less likely, or leave it mostly unrelated — a quarterback's passing yards and his receiver's receiving yards share game conditions, for example.

PROBLAY handles this explicitly, and tells you which case applies in each idea's More Info panel:

• Measured relationship — PROBLAY has evidence of a relationship between two same-game outcomes and factored it into the evaluation.
• Validated independence — the evidence supports treating two outcomes as independent.
• Cross-game — legs from different games are treated as independent by design; PROBLAY doesn't claim to have measured those relationships.

PROBLAY doesn't currently show a combined probability for Dashboard Ideas, the Parlay Board or Saved Parlays. Each leg keeps its own PROBLAY probability. A combined estimate for 3 or more legs multiplies the leg probabilities, assumes the legs are independent, and hasn't been validated, so PROBLAY doesn't display one.

Every idea carries a Research Score out of 100, built from six components:

• Model Disagreement
• Research Integrity
• Price Fit
• Freshness
• Relationship Evidence
• Combined-Odds Fit

Research Score is NOT:

• The probability the parlay wins
• A confidence percentage
• A recommendation score
• An expected profit

A 78 doesn't outrank a 71 on likelihood of winning — it stands out more strongly on the research evidence PROBLAY evaluates. The More Info panel shows how each component contributed, rated Strong, Good, Fair, or Limited.

Every idea has a More Info panel — "Why PROBLAY Found This" — with four things worth reading:

• The PROBLAY Read — a short plain-language synthesis of what the legs are, where the model disagrees with the market, how the relationship between the legs was treated, and what's driving the Research Score.
• Research Score breakdown — each of the six components with its Strong/Good/Fair/Limited rating.
• Leg Breakdown — every leg's own PROBLAY probability, market comparison, Market Edge, matchup, kickoff, and checkpoint.
• Relationship Between Legs and What To Know — how the pairings were treated, plus material caveats (an Early Look checkpoint, a FanDuel Implied comparison, the weakest leg in the combination).

Every More Info panel ends with the same sentence, and it means what it says: "Research analysis only. Not a prediction or recommendation."

PROBLAY finds the signal. You build the parlay. A PROBLAY Idea is research to investigate — there is no assumption you'll use it as-is. You might:

• Use the complete idea
• Use one or two legs and leave the rest
• Choose a different line or threshold than the one shown
• Combine a leg with your own research
• Skip the idea entirely

Each leg's player and market can be looked up on the Props Board for the full card — projection vs. line, the itemized breakdown, quality notes, and freshness.

A strong-looking combination doesn't erase something uncertain about one of its legs — and your judgment about any leg outranks the card.

PRO accounts can save a current parlay idea from the board.

A Saved Parlay is an immutable snapshot of the idea at the time it was saved. It does NOT:

• Update itself later
• Place a wager
• Submit anything to FanDuel
• Lock sportsbook pricing
• Reserve odds

Saving is simply a way to preserve what PROBLAY was showing at that moment.

Signed-in users can continue viewing and managing their own existing Saved Parlays even if they later return to FREE. Creating a new save requires PRO.

1. 1

   Which profile is this?

   Balanced, Aggressive, or Longshot — it sets the price band and payout ambition.

2. 2

   How many legs, at what calculated odds?

   A 2-leg idea at +205 calculated odds here.

3. 3

   What does the Research Score say?

   78.4/100 — how strongly the idea stands out for research, not the chance it wins.

4. 4

   What does each leg say?

   Read every leg's own PROBLAY probability, market comparison, Market Edge, and checkpoint.

5. 5

   How are the legs related?

   Open More Info — same-game relationships are measured when evidence exists; cross-game legs are treated as independent by design.

6. 6

   What does the PROBLAY Read add?

   A short plain-language synthesis of why this combination surfaced, plus What To Know caveats.

7. 7

   What do YOU want to do with it?

   Use it whole, take one leg, change a line, add your own research, or skip it.

A parlay idea tells you how PROBLAY evaluated a combination. It does not tell you the outcome is certain and it does not instruct you to place a wager.

FREE and PRO use the same underlying research model. Dashboard Ideas and the Parlay Board use different construction and scoring methods, so Dashboard Ideas aren't a preview of the board's top ideas. PRO provides more access and output — never a more capable model.