Understand the idea before you understand the legs.

PROBLAY doesn't begin by assembling arbitrary sportsbook legs into a parlay.

Candidate parlay legs come from props that have already cleared the same Model Qualified evidence requirements as the Props Board — and, for parlay construction specifically, must also carry a PROBLAY Probability of at least 80%.

"Qualified" still does NOT mean:

• Recommended
• Guaranteed
• Positive Market Edge
• Something you should wager on

Need a refresher on Model Qualified? Understanding the Numbers →

A parlay isn't simply a list of individually interesting props. PROBLAY builds and evaluates combinations from the currently qualified pool, under construction rules that limit how concentrated a single parlay can be:

• Each parlay idea has 2 to 6 legs.
• No more than 2 legs from the same player.
• No more than 2 legs from the same game.
• No more than 2 legs from the same team.

These rules exist so the board isn't simply filled with arbitrary stacks of the highest individual probabilities.

This is the same field the Parlay Board itself shows — a single PROBLAY Probability for the whole parlay idea. It is not:

• The average of the leg probabilities
• The highest leg probability
• A profit percentage or ROI
• A guarantee

The legs in a parlay may not behave independently. One event can make another leg more likely, less likely, or leave it mostly unrelated.

For example, a quarterback's passing-yard outcome and a receiver's receiving-yard outcome in the same game may share some underlying game conditions — they aren't necessarily independent of each other. That relationship isn't always positive, and it isn't something to try to exploit; it's simply a reason the legs can't always be treated as separate coin flips.

Correlation-adjusted vs. independence

When PROBLAY has a correlation-adjusted estimate available, it prefers that estimate for the parlay's combined probability. When that adjustment isn't available, PROBLAY falls back to a naive independence calculation — estimating the combined result as though the legs' outcomes were independent. That fallback is useful, but it doesn't account for relationships between the legs.

The Parlay Board doesn't display a separate badge stating which method produced a given parlay's PROBLAY Probability. What it does show, for any parlay of 3 or more legs, is a short disclosure:

A simple visual of the idea:

A combined number should never replace looking at the components.

For each leg, the Parlay Board shows:

• Player
• Market
• Side and line
• Odds

The board doesn't repeat each leg's individual PROBLAY Probability, Market Edge, or Why breakdown on this card — for that level of detail, look up the same player and market on the Props Board.

A strong-looking combined number doesn't erase something uncertain about one of the individual legs.

Two illustrative ideas, side by side:

Idea B has fewer legs and a higher PROBLAY Probability. More legs does not automatically mean a stronger idea — read the combined probability as the probability of that specific combination, not as a score where a bigger card means better.

PRO accounts can save a current parlay idea with the board's Save Parlay button.

A Saved Parlay is an immutable snapshot of the idea at the time it was saved. It does NOT:

• Update itself later
• Place a wager
• Submit anything to FanDuel
• Lock sportsbook pricing
• Reserve odds

Saving is simply a way to preserve what PROBLAY was showing at that moment.

Signed-in users can continue viewing and managing their own existing Saved Parlays even if they later return to FREE. Creating a new save requires PRO.

Illustrative example. Not a live parlay or a recommendation.

1. 1

   How many legs?

   Understand the size of the combination — 3 legs here.

2. 2

   Where did the legs come from?

   They began as qualified candidate props.

3. 3

   What is the combined probability?

   Read the estimate for all three legs occurring together — 59.2%.

4. 4

   Was correlation considered?

   When available; this 3-leg estimate assumes independence and isn't separately validated.

5. 5

   What does each leg say?

   Check the underlying probability, market comparison, and context for each leg on the Props Board.

6. 6

   Is the data current?

   Check each leg's own freshness and checkpoint on the Props Board.

7. 7

   Want to revisit it?

   Save the snapshot if the account has PRO access.

A parlay idea tells you how PROBLAY evaluated a combination. It does not tell you the outcome is certain and it does not instruct you to place a wager.

FREE and PRO use the same underlying parlay engine. PRO provides more access and output — never a more capable or different engine.